Helium Mobile

The recent analysis of Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN) highlights its potential as a significant investment track in the cryptocurrency landscape. DePIN, which aims to decentralize the infrastructure of the physical world, is gaining traction alongside AI as a promising direction for investment. However, the sector currently lacks a leading project to catalyze its growth, with Helium being the most recognized name, albeit predating the DePIN concept. The analysis suggests that DePIN could yield substantial returns in the next 1-3 years, as it addresses real-world needs through decentralized solutions, such as reducing costs in telecommunications and AI data acquisition. The investment rationale for DePIN is grounded in its ability to optimize traditional infrastructure models. For instance, in the telecommunications sector, traditional operators face exorbitant costs for spectrum licenses and base station deployments. In contrast, Helium Mobile allows users to become micro-operators by purchasing affordable hotspot devices, significantly lowering deployment costs. Similarly, in the AI domain, projects like Grass leverage distributed web scraping to reduce data acquisition expenses while ensuring compliance and diversity. These examples illustrate how DePIN can outperform conventional methods, making it an attractive investment opportunity. Moreover, DePIN presents a unique intersection of infrastructure and consumer needs, addressing the challenges faced by both sectors. High-quality DePIN projects exhibit strong product-market fit and revenue generation, making them less susceptible to market volatility. As demonstrated by Helium's competitive pricing and Grass's user-friendly model, DePIN can effectively capture user interest and mindshare. While the path to widespread adoption may be gradual, the potential for DePIN to disrupt traditional industries and create sustainable value through innovative token economies is significant, positioning it as a focal point for investors looking ahead to 2025.

XNET, a project based on the Solana blockchain, has recently announced a strategic partnership with AT&T, a major player in the US telecommunications industry. This collaboration aims to enhance the efficiency of mobile data traffic management by allowing AT&T to offload some of its mobile data onto XNET's decentralized network of Wi-Fi hotspots. XNET incentivizes businesses and public spaces to deploy these hotspots by rewarding them with XNET tokens, effectively creating a distributed wireless network that alleviates congestion and improves overall coverage. As part of this agreement, which has been operational since September 2024, AT&T customers can seamlessly connect to XNET's Wi-Fi network, with AT&T compensating XNET for the data usage in dollars, which is then distributed to XNET's node operators in the form of tokens. Currently, XNET boasts 688 active nodes and has facilitated connections for approximately 9 million users through its network. The co-founder of XNET, Richard DeVaul, emphasized the importance of their token in financing the network's infrastructure, stating that traditional equity or debt financing would have posed significant challenges. He described XNET as a prime example of Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN), showcasing how the project has successfully utilized its token to bootstrap operations and equipment financing. This innovative approach positions XNET as a unique player in the decentralized network space, distinguishing itself from competitors like Helium Mobile, which focuses on individual hotspot installations. While both XNET and Helium Mobile operate in the decentralized network sector, XNET's business model is strictly B2B, targeting high-value locations for hotspot deployment. DeVaul noted that they view Helium as a potential customer rather than a competitor, indicating a collaborative spirit within the industry. As the demand for decentralized networks continues to grow, partnerships like that of XNET and AT&T may pave the way for more efficient and widespread internet access, ultimately benefiting users and businesses alike.

In the fourth quarter, Helium's native token, HNT, experienced a significant decline, with its circulating market capitalization dropping from $1.3 billion to $1.0 billion, marking a 20% quarter-over-quarter decrease. The token's price also fell by 22%, decreasing from $7.54 to $5.88. Despite this downturn in the market, the Helium network continued to expand, particularly in the area of hotspot adoption. According to a report from Messari, Helium Mobile's number of hotspots grew by 14% QoQ, reaching 24,800 from 21,800. The service's unlimited plans remain competitively priced compared to traditional telecom providers in the US, and the introduction of the Discovery Mapping feature has incentivized users to share location data, although rewards have recently shifted from HNT to Cloud Points. During the recent Hurricane Helene in North Carolina, Helium Mobile showcased its utility by maintaining operational hotspots that provided 5G coverage while many were left without electricity or water. The team also took proactive measures by distributing emergency kits, including Starlink devices, to assist affected communities. In addition to Helium Mobile, the IoT network also saw a 20% increase in hotspots during Q4, with a total of over 375,000 hotspots onboarded since migrating to Solana in early 2023. However, despite rapid infrastructure growth, demand has not yet caught up, as evidenced by low daily data credits (DC) usage. Helium has faced controversies in the past, including allegations that its founders hoarded a significant portion of early token rewards, with insiders reportedly mining millions of HNT tokens worth $250 million at their peak. Additionally, Helium faced criticism for overstating partnerships, such as with Lime, the rideshare company, which clarified that their relationship was limited to a 2019 test. Similar issues arose with Salesforce, which denied any partnership, leading Helium to remove their logos from promotional materials. These controversies have raised questions about the company's transparency and the sustainability of its growth strategies.

In February, the decentralized physical infrastructure network (DePIN) associated with Solana [SOL] experienced a notable rebound, driven by significant user growth in key projects such as Helium and Hivemapper. Helium Mobile reported a remarkable ninefold increase in users, reaching 145,000, marking its highest growth in a year. Hivemapper, a community-driven alternative to Google Maps, also saw its demand triple due to the introduction of new mapping devices. Collectively, these projects maintained steady revenues of approximately $350,000, indicating a stabilization in the DePIN sector for 2025. The resurgence of DePIN could potentially serve as a catalyst for SOL's value, especially following a significant decline in meme-coin activity that adversely affected Solana's decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes. In January, during the peak of DEX activity, SOL reached a record high of $295, largely fueled by the excitement surrounding the TRUMP memecoin. However, a subsequent 60% drop in DEX volumes led to a decline in SOL's value, which has since stabilized above the $120 support level. The question remains whether DePIN can fill the void left by meme coins and bolster SOL's value moving forward. Despite the resurgence of DePIN, the overall network activity within the Solana ecosystem remains heavily influenced by meme coins. Active addresses surged to 5.7 million during the TRUMP meme-coin craze in mid-January but saw a decline throughout February. Although there was a slight increase in active addresses to 4.4 million, this was followed by a drop to 2.7 million by the end of the month. By mid-March, the number of active addresses stabilized at 3.11 million, reflecting a 45% decrease from January's peak. As of now, SOL is valued at $130, maintaining its position above the critical 2024 support zone, leaving uncertainty about whether it can avoid further corrections.

Messari, a prominent crypto research firm, has released its latest report titled "State of Helium Q4 2024," which provides an in-depth analysis of the Helium Network's growth, adoption, and operational advancements during the last quarter of 2024. The report highlights significant metrics, including a staggering 555% increase in offloaded data, totaling over 576 TB. This growth is attributed to the expansion of the DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks) project, particularly in mobile and IoT network capabilities, showcasing Helium's robust performance in a competitive landscape. In Q4 2024, Helium Mobile experienced a 7% growth in subscribers, reaching over 124,000 users for its unlimited talk and text messaging service, with recent updates indicating this number has surpassed 150,000. The network also saw a 14% increase in mobile hotspots, totaling 24,800, while IoT hotspots grew by 20% to 32,900 following its migration to the Solana blockchain. Notably, partnerships with major telecom companies, such as Telefonica in Mexico, and the integration of Ameriband’s 100,000+ Data-Only Hotspots, have significantly enhanced Helium's coverage and operational capabilities across the U.S. The report also discusses Helium's strategic implementation of HIP 138, which aims to simplify its token structure by unifying under HNT. This change is designed to lower barriers for new participants by redistributing HNT emissions, with 70% directed to the MOBILE subnetwork and 30% to the IOT subnetwork. Furthermore, Helium's inclusion in Coinbase’s COIN50 index and a case study at Harvard Business School underscore its growing relevance in the DePIN sector. As Helium continues to innovate and collaborate, its role as a leader in facilitating global connectivity and supporting other DePIN projects solidifies its position in the blockchain ecosystem.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has initiated a lawsuit against Nova Labs, the creator of the Helium Network, claiming that the company sold unregistered securities and misled investors regarding its partnerships with prominent firms. The lawsuit specifically targets three tokens associated with Helium: the Helium Network Token (HNT), Helium Mobile Token (MOBILE), and Helium IoT Network Token (IoT). According to the SEC, these tokens were marketed as securities without proper registration, violating federal laws. The SEC is seeking financial penalties and a prohibition on Nova Labs from engaging in the purchase or sale of crypto assets classified as securities. In addition to the allegations regarding unregistered securities, the SEC accuses Nova Labs of exaggerating its partnerships with major corporations such as Nestlé, Lime, and Salesforce. The lawsuit claims that these companies were misrepresented as active users of the Helium network, leading to cease-and-desist letters from Nestlé and Lime when they discovered the misleading claims. The SEC's filing suggests that Nova Labs executives were aware of the falsehoods, with internal communications indicating disbelief that Nestlé had not challenged them sooner. This raises serious questions about the integrity of the company's business practices. In response to the lawsuit, Helium founder Amir Haleem criticized the SEC's actions on social media, describing the lawsuit as a desperate attempt to undermine crypto companies in the U.S. Haleem argued that if Helium hotspots are deemed securities, it could jeopardize all decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePINs). He emphasized that Helium had clarified its position with the companies involved and expressed determination to contest the SEC's claims, framing the case as a crucial moment for the future of decentralized networks.